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Intelligence for the New World Economy
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Politics
How Trump became the president of Washington, DC
The president’s obsession with the nation’s capital is growing as he reaches the limits of presidential power.
How Allianz’s CEO prepares for the risk of ‘huge havoc’
Oliver Bäte says Europe can no longer afford all the options its citizens expect.
How Allianz’s CEO prepares for the risk of ‘huge havoc’
Oliver Bäte says Europe can no longer afford all the options its citizens expect.
Meta money grab is a plea to investors: Stick with us
View / Africa’s aid addiction was never Washington’s to fix
The World at a Glance
Updated 6:26pm EDT
1
OPEC+ agreed to increase crude production as more barrels flow through the Strait of Hormuz amid a US-Iran ceasefire.
2Tens of thousands of Iranians gathered for the funeral of slain leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
3India is emerging as a safe haven for investors as tech stocks waver on doubts over AI.
4President Donald Trump marked the 250th anniversary of the US by declaring that the country is “stronger than ever.”
5As NATO leaders head into this week’s annual summit, the alliance has increasingly adopted a business-first attitude.
6The leader of a prominent Chinese underground church was released from prison and traveled to the US.
Hormuz traffic quadruples as confidence builds
The rise in traffic is stoking expectations of an impending oil glut, with forecasts that prices could hit $60 a barrel this year.
Canada hopes to become an ‘energy superpower’
Canada announced plans to build a major oil pipeline to boost sales to Asia and massively increase fossil fuel production.
The MSCI boss helping Elon Musk get closer to Mars
Henry Fernandez says the index provider has grown by playing soccer, not singles tennis.
Republicans plot to counter Democrat probes
The GOP could rely on the threat of parallel probes by the Trump administration to power the House minority’s congressional investigations.
US jobs data changes Warsh’s game
Employers added 57,000 jobs last month, about half of what economists had expected.
DR Congo plans stock exchange launch
Kinshasa hopes the country’s first bourse will tap into global interest in its mineral endowments.
Trump Accounts rollovers expected post-launch
Experts estimate that more than half of the children eligible to receive $1,000 in seed money for Trump Accounts still have not enrolled.
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Politics
NATO heads into ‘deal-making’ summit
As NATO leaders head into this week’s annual summit, the alliance increasingly resembles a marketplace defined by defense spending and procurement as much as shared values, analysts said.
Evan Vucci/Reuters
America celebrates a chaotic 250th birthday
President Donald Trump marked the 250th anniversary of the US by declaring that the country is “stronger than ever,” as celebrations unfolded amid heightened political tensions in Washington.
Evan Vucci/Reuters
How Trump became the president of Washington, DC
The president’s obsession with the nation’s capital is growing as he reaches the limits of presidential power.
Photo Illustration: Joey Pfeifer/Semafor; Photos: Samir Hussein/Pool via Reuters; Aaron Schwartz and Kevin Lamarque/Reuters
Republican committee chair criticizes Zimbabwe leader’s power grab
President Emmerson Mnangagwa is already facing pressure in Washington.
Democratic group offers Colorado primary postmortem
The Congressional Hispanic Caucus’ political arm is taking a victory lap after its preferred candidate, progressive Manny Rutinel, won a competitive Colorado primary this week.
Republicans plot to counter Democrat probes
The GOP could rely on the threat of parallel probes by the Trump administration to power the House minority’s congressional investigations.
Trump Accounts rollovers expected post-launch
Experts estimate that more than half of the children eligible to receive $1,000 in seed money for Trump Accounts still have not enrolled.
Israel emerges as new Democratic litmus test
Democratic incumbents trying to run on holding Trump accountable are losing to progressive challengers willing to criticize Israel support.
Trump’s financial disclosure complicates crypto bill talks
News that the president made more than $1 billion from cryptocurrency while in office has emboldened Senate Democrats.
Warsh keeps his interest rate cards close
He told attendees of the European Central Bank Forum on Wednesday that attempts to get him to “break this rule” were “going to fail.”
Lawmakers want rideshare liability shield dropped
A bipartisan group objected to an amendment sponsored by Rep. Vince Fong, R-Calif., that would limit rideshare companies’ vicarious liability,
Business
India benefits from lack of AI stocks
India’s stock market has lagged behind the rest of the world largely due to its lack of big AI names. That’s now proving to be an advantage.
Shailesh Andrade/Reuters
OPEC+ hikes output as prices fall
OPEC+ on Sunday agreed to increase crude production again, as more barrels flow through the Strait of Hormuz amid a US-Iran ceasefire.
How Allianz’s CEO prepares for the risk of ‘huge havoc’
Oliver Bäte says Europe can no longer afford all the options its citizens expect.
The MSCI boss helping Elon Musk get closer to Mars
Henry Fernandez says the index provider has grown by playing soccer, not singles tennis.
Prediction market fraud fears grow on suspicious wagers
Spotify asked Kalshi and Polymarket to remove its logo from their sites after users allegedly manipulated data.
Technology
India benefits from lack of AI stocks
India’s stock market has lagged behind the rest of the world largely due to its lack of big AI names. That’s now proving to be an advantage.
Shailesh Andrade/Reuters
Apptronik turns robot simulations into reality
The company will share findings with Google DeepMind and integrate data into Gemini robots.
The Apptronik Robot Park. Courtesy of Apptronik.
US death rate hits record low
A collapse of drug overdose deaths was the main driver.
OpenAI considers giving US government 5% stake
The move comes as the question of how to redistribute AI windfalls is being debated on either side of the political aisle.
Anthropic rolls back China tracking code
A cybersecurity newsletter reported that the Claude Code feature covertly tracked and transmitted information based on a user’s timezone and potential connection to certain Chinese tech companies.
Europe should build AI – and fear it, too
If Europe doesn’t change course on AI, it risks becoming an economic backwater, asset-stripped and descending into anarchy, according to the research project Europe 2031.
Energy
US heat wave strains grid
A heat wave gripping the US this week is putting pressure on an already-strained energy grid.
Jordan Tovin/Reuters
Russia faces growing fuel shortage
President Vladimir Putin acknowledged this week that Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries had triggered fuel shortages, but downplayed the severity of a crisis.
Alexander Ermochenko/Reuters
Renewed oil flows give US leverage
The future of the Strait of Hormuz is hanging over the indirect talks in Qatar this week.
Stringer/File Photo/Reuters
Gulf
Thousands mourn slain Iranian leader
Tens of thousands of Iranians gathered in Tehran on Sunday for the funeral of slain leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, with supporters chanting calls for “revenge” against the US.
Mohammed Salem/Reuters
OPEC+ hikes output as prices fall
OPEC+ on Sunday agreed to increase crude production again, as more barrels flow through the Strait of Hormuz amid a US-Iran ceasefire.
Gulf sovereign funds on track for record year
Sovereign wealth funds from the region invested $53.9 billion across 108 transactions in the first half of 2026, an all time high.
UAE’s IHC and Adani ink $11.5B aluminum deal
The agreement, to jointly build an aluminum complex in eastern India, is the latest sign of growing ties between the UAE and India.
US asset manager to launch Sharia-compliant credit fund
Principal looks to tap demand from Islamic investors in the Gulf and Asia for US private credit.
China
Beijing releases jailed pastor
The leader of a prominent Chinese underground church was released from prison and traveled to the US after President Donald Trump raised his case directly.
Jin in 2018. Thomas Peter/Reuters
US, China trade dynamic stabilizes
The US and China are moving toward reducing tariffs on each other’s agricultural products.
P.J. Huffstutter/Reuters
Anthropic rolls back China tracking code
A cybersecurity newsletter reported that the Claude Code feature covertly tracked and transmitted information based on a user’s timezone and potential connection to certain Chinese tech companies.
Yves Herman/Reuters
Africa
DR Congo plans stock exchange launch
Kinshasa hopes the country’s first bourse will tap into global interest in its mineral endowments.
Mopepe243, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
Billionaire maps next chapter for southern Africa sugar giant
Robert Gumede plans to use a massive sugarcane supplies footprint to build a biofuel powerhouse.
Sisipho Skweyiya/Reuters
Africa’s aid dependency was never Washington’s to fix
The end of USAID exposes a harder truth: decades of resource wealth never built the institutions aid was covering for.
Africa’s vaccine sovereignty goal is set for its biggest hurdle
As Gavi prepares the first payouts from its $1.2 billion manufacturing program, the challenge shifts from financing factories to securing long-term demand.
The danger of South Africa’s fragile anti-migrant protests
The country’s major cities saw anti-migrant demonstrations that were largely devoid of violence, but there were promises of more protests.
Rising fuel costs boost African EV sales
In most African markets, Chinese EVs cost the same as their internal combustion engine alternatives, according to research firm BMI.
Security
NATO heads into ‘deal-making’ summit
As NATO leaders head into this week’s annual summit, the alliance increasingly resembles a marketplace defined by defense spending and procurement as much as shared values, analysts said.
Evan Vucci/Reuters
Russia retaliates with Ukraine strikes
Ukrainian officials have warned residents to guard against further strikes as Russia lashes out.
Stringer/Reuters
South Africa braces for wave of anti-migrant violence
Thousands of migrants are fleeing South Africa as the country braces for violence after an anti-immigrant group set a Tuesday deadline for all undocumented migrants to leave.
Ihsaan Haffejee/Reuters
Media
Daily Wire, under pressure, seeks strategic investors, targets IPO
The Daily Wire is in talks to take on at least $100 million in investment, with an eye on an initial public offering in a few years’ time.
REUTERS/Cheney Orr
OpenAI’s $100 billion ad bet
The tech giant rolled out new tools for creatives.
The Atlantic beefs up its video podcasts
One of America’s oldest magazines is investing in video after seeing notable growth in its audience.
David Droga on AI and the end of ‘mediocre’ human-made ads
As he sees it, the advertising industry is in the throes of a profound technological shift.
Conservatives make the case for right-wing ads at Cannes Lions
The Daily Wire and others are offering an overtly partisan alternative to advertising gatherings that often stay far away from politics.
CEO Signal
How Allianz’s CEO prepares for the risk of ‘huge havoc’
Oliver Bäte says Europe can no longer afford all the options its citizens expect.
Courtesy of Allianz/Graph Massara/Semafor
The MSCI boss helping Elon Musk get closer to Mars
Henry Fernandez says the index provider has grown by playing soccer, not singles tennis.
Courtesy of MSCI/Graph Massara/Semafor
How Antonio Neri turned HPE into an unlikely AI stock
The veteran dealmaker says he’s ‘building the best networking business on the planet’.
Courtesy of HPE/Graph Massara/Semafor
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