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View / We’re making assumptions about the economy
View / Ceasefire offers respite, but no quick rebound for the Gulf
The World at a Glance
Updated 6:23pm EDT
1
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán was defeated in national elections, a stunning loss after 16 years in power.
2Donald Trump said the US would “blockade” the Strait of Hormuz after the US and Iran failed to reach a deal during talks in Pakistan.
3The collapse of US-Iran talks is poised to raise energy prices and weigh on stocks.
4Donald Trump threatened China with “staggering” 50% tariffs if it provides military assistance to Iran.
5NASA’s Artemis II mission set the stage for future — and more challenging — lunar voyages.
6OpenAI CEO Sam Altman linked an attack on his home to a moment of “great anxiety” around AI.
Gulf media crackdown sanitizes images of the war
International wires have halted conflict photography in the UAE since the arrest of photojournalists there.
AFP via Getty ImagesGeorges Elhedery on HSBC’s big bets on the Gulf and Asia
HSBC is planning to stay the course amid global turmoil.
Tyrone Siu/ReutersNavy takes nuclear-powered sub offline after $800 million cost run-up
Navy Secretary John Phelan was candid about his decision in an interview with Semafor: “We screwed up.”
Jessica Koscielniak/ReutersWarsh’s Fed hearing slips past next week
The committee would have had to notice the hearing by midnight Thursday.
Kevin Warsh at Semafor’s World Economy Summit. Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images for SemaforLawmakers await Pentagon’s mystery funding request
Congressional Republicans are watching to see whether the ceasefire with Iran is real.
Nathan Howard/Reuters Republicans fight among themselves over their long pre-election to-do list
President Donald Trump’s party has a dizzying number of goals and can’t agree on how to get started.
Annabelle Gordon/ReutersInside the five-year succession plan at a $130B warehouse giant
Prologis’ Dan Letter says a long period of “letting the leash out” prepared him to be CEO.
Courtesy of Prologis AD
Politics
Annabelle Gordon/Reuters
Reuters
Ken Cedeno/Reuters
Trump threatens China over Iran
US President Donald Trump on Sunday threatened China with “staggering” 50% tariffs if it provides military assistance to Iran, raising the specter of further friction between the world’s two largest economies.
Annabelle Gordon/ReutersDonald Trump says the US will ‘blockade’ Hormuz
Donald Trump said the US would “blockade” the Strait of Hormuz after US and Iranian negotiators failed to reach a deal during marathon talks in Pakistan.
ReutersFirst look at war-related inflation sparks political jostling
The White House sought to focus on findings that specific goods got less expensive, while emboldened Democrats decried energy price spikes.
Ken Cedeno/ReutersNavy takes nuclear-powered sub offline after $800 million cost run-up
Navy Secretary John Phelan was candid about his decision in an interview with Semafor: “We screwed up.”
Warsh’s Fed hearing slips past next week
The committee would have had to notice the hearing by midnight Thursday.
Moore takes on the Sun’s ‘MAGA billionaire’ and more
The Maryland governor talked to Semafor on the sidelines of Rev. Al Sharpton’s National Action Network conference.
Debatable: AI titans influencing regulation
Some are warning about AI companies engaging with US lawmakers as they map out potential regulations for the industry.
Americans still think taxes are too high, poll finds
The share of US adults who told Gallup that their taxes are too high has remained consistent since 2023 during Joe Biden’s presidency.
Lawmakers await Pentagon’s mystery funding request
Congressional Republicans are watching to see whether the ceasefire with Iran is real.
Israel, Lebanon to hold direct talks
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to continue striking Lebanon in the meantime.
Republicans fight among themselves over their long pre-election to-do list
President Donald Trump’s party has a dizzying number of goals and can’t agree on how to get started.
Business
More than 500 global CEOs, policymakers and cabinet secretaries gather at Semafor World Economy in Washington
Kicking off Monday, global power players descend on DC to confront a global economy rattled by wars, stubborn inflation and the artificial intelligence boom.
US-Iran impasse to stem relief rally
The collapse of talks between the US and Iran is poised to push energy prices back up and weigh on stocks globally.
US inflation jumps, though long-term war impact yet to be seen
“Core” inflation, which removes volatile food and energy prices, only increased modestly.
Inside the five-year succession plan at a $130B warehouse giant
Prologis’ Dan Letter says a long period of “letting the leash out” prepared him to be CEO.
Georges Elhedery on HSBC’s big bets on the Gulf and Asia
HSBC is planning to stay the course amid global turmoil.
Technology
Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
Eric Gaillard/File Photo/Reuters
Altman links attack to ‘great anxiety’ over AI
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman linked an attack on his home to a moment of “great anxiety” around AI.
Jonathan Ernst/ReutersHospitals consider replacing some radiologists with AI
Radiology is ground zero for arguments over AI’s employment impacts.
Eric Gaillard/File Photo/ReutersAmazon takes a jab at Nvidia over chips shift
It’s a signal that Nvidia is in direct competition with the frontier AI labs it already supplies.
VCs step in to fund university upstarts
VC increased their spending in university spinoffs, and in later rounds of US companies spun out from academia, PitchBook reported.
Anthropic is gaining on OpenAI’s revenue, but hasn’t yet eclipsed it
The companies report revenue differently when they sell their tokens through cloud partners like AWS, Google and Microsoft.
AI powerhouses threaten data processing firms
Software companies’ shares have taken a hit as AI models move in on customer data processing.
Energy
Eli Hartman/File Photo/Reuters
Simon Johnson/Reuters
Fayaz Aziz/Reuters
Oil prices remain high despite Iran ceasefire
Prices are still hovering just below $100 per barrel, but there’s a long road ahead even if the war concludes.
Eli Hartman/File Photo/ReutersIran war strengthens case for green hydrogen
The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has boosted interest in green hydrogen, as fossil fuel prices soar.
Simon Johnson/ReutersParis Agreement target off the table, report says
Rising electricity demand and strong oil markets in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East are making it harder for emissions to decrease.
Fayaz Aziz/ReutersGulfAFP via Getty Images
Gulf media crackdown sanitizes images of the war
International wires have halted conflict photography in the UAE since the arrest of photojournalists there.
AFP via Getty ImagesTrump threatens China over Iran
US President Donald Trump on Sunday threatened China with “staggering” 50% tariffs if it provides military assistance to Iran, raising the specter of further friction between the world’s two largest economies.
US-Iran impasse to stem relief rally
The collapse of talks between the US and Iran is poised to push energy prices back up and weigh on stocks globally.
UK rejects Iran’s Hormuz toll plan
The UK’s top diplomat on Thursday rejected Iran’s toll plan for the Strait of Hormuz, characterizing the effort as a “hijacking” of the crucial transit route.
Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala soars after dealmaking spree
The sovereign fund’s investment activities rose in 2025 to the highest level in at least eight years.
Africa
Mike Hutchings/Reuters
African Guernica by Dumile Feni, just before it was installed at the Reina Sofía. museoreinasofia/Instagram.
Airbnb faces familiar battle in Cape Town
Hotel-managed or listed units on short-term rental platforms show how deeply tourism has penetrated the city center’s housing market.
Mike Hutchings/ReutersA South African artist is changing the way viewers understand Picasso’s Guernica
Dumile Feni’s artwork is on display directly opposite Pablo Picasso’s famous anti-war painting.
African Guernica by Dumile Feni, just before it was installed at the Reina Sofía. museoreinasofia/Instagram.China’s state businesses are reshaping markets in Africa
Beijing’s state-owned enterprises have already captured markets on the continent, warns a report by the US government-backed Africa Center for Strategic Studies.
US issues Nigeria travel warning over terrorism, kidnapping
The State Department wrote that some regions now carry its highest “do not travel” designation.
FirstRand exits UK business after regulatory hit
South Africa’s largest bank by value said it will unwind its ownership of British challenger bank Aldermore.
DRC raises $1.25B from debut sovereign eurobond
Kinshasa was able to sell a stronger credit story than expected after its critical minerals partnership with the US.
Security
Ronen Zvulun/Reuters
HMS Prince of Wales. UK MOD Crown/May Luke/Handout via Reuters.
Majid Asgaripour/WANA via Reuters
Israel’s Netanyahu says Iran ceasefire is not ‘end of the war’
Israel believes its war aims are incomplete, potentially setting the stage for further hostilities amid a shaky truce with Iran.
Ronen Zvulun/ReutersUK Navy deploys anti-drone weapons amid global scramble
The DragonFire system can target 400 mph drones and comes five years ahead of schedule.
HMS Prince of Wales. UK MOD Crown/May Luke/Handout via Reuters.US targets pillars of Iran economy
Widespread attacks on Tuesday hit Iran’s railroads, bridges, and its energy hub.
Majid Asgaripour/WANA via ReutersMediaAFP via Getty Images
Gulf media crackdown sanitizes images of the war
International wires have halted conflict photography in the UAE since the arrest of photojournalists there.
AFP via Getty ImagesHow Bluesky earned its reputation — and why it could be the way of the future
Bluesky COO Rose Wang on how her company got to 40 million users.
Democrats pressure Pentagon over new media restrictions
Democratic lawmakers are pressing the Pentagon and leaders at Stars and Stripes to share whether the department is censoring stories at the historic military newspaper.
Maryland’s biggest newspaper is going after the governor’s 2028 campaign
The owner of Maryland’s biggest paper and TV stations is keeping close tabs on his outlet’s investigation of Gov. Wes Moore.
Joanna Stern on how AI told her to quit The Wall Street Journal
“It felt like the one big decision where I actually did trust AI,” she told Semafor’s “Mixed Signals” podcast.
CEO SignalCourtesy of Prologis Tyrone Siu/Reuters 
Courtesy of GSK/Joey Pfeifer/Semafor
Inside the five-year succession plan at a $130B warehouse giant
Prologis’ Dan Letter says a long period of “letting the leash out” prepared him to be CEO.
Courtesy of Prologis Georges Elhedery on HSBC’s big bets on the Gulf and Asia
HSBC is planning to stay the course amid global turmoil.
Tyrone Siu/ReutersEmma Walmsley on leading and leaving GSK
What does it take to hand over a company after years at the helm?
Courtesy of GSK/Joey Pfeifer/SemaforAD