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🟡 Semafor Business: Rational complacency
In this edition, we recap some of the key moments from Semafor World Economy.
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The stories (& the scoops) from Wall Street.
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EU seeks to relax corporate merger rules
The EU is planning a “radical shake-up” of corporate merger guidelines, as it seeks to build global champions capable of competing with US and Chinese firms, the Financial Times reported.
Yves Herman/Reuters
Europe down to six weeks of jet fuel, IEA chief says
The continent is the biggest buyer of jet fuel that is shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, leaving it exposed to supply shocks.
Mike Blake/Reuters
Arvind Krishna, IBM CEO, on Big Bets, AI, and Quantum
Most CEOs have not woken up to the fact that technology is as important as their balance sheet, the IBM Chairman and CEO says in the latest episode of The CEO Signal.
Greer: Trump administration wants to be ‘pragmatic’ on China
“We live in the real world,” the US trade representative told Semafor World Economy.
Kris Tripplaar/Semafor
Executives downplay fears of systemic private credit crisis
Executives at Semafor World Economy dismissed fears that private credit market jitters are a sign of a systemic crisis.
Goldman Sachs’ John Waldron. Kris Tripplaar/Semafor
CEOs are embracing AI agents as cyber risks grow
Swarms of such agents could create “an enormous mess” for cybersecurity, one executive said at Semafor World Economy.
Kraken’s Arjun Sethi. Annabelle Gordon/Semafor
Optimism rises on Iran, Lebanon diplomacy
Stocks surged on Wednesday as prospects rose for peace in two Middle East conflicts.
Hyundai-LG opening battery plant after US ICE raid causes monthslong delays
CEO José Muñoz told Semafor World Economy that he has three top priorities for Hyundai: “U.S.A.”
Executives raise alarm bells over global economic prospects
Leading executives at Semafor World Economy raised alarm bells over the prospects for the world economy, as the IMF cut its growth outlook for 2026.
Markets are defying gravity — for now
Citadel CEO Ken Griffin warned of a full-on recession if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed for more than six months.
Philanthropist John Arnold is worried about prediction markets
America’s youngest billionaire-turned-philanthropist is making online betting his next big issue.
How Ivan Espinosa got Nissan to face reality
Nissan’s vehicle sales and share price have plummeted. Espinosa has a mandate to turn them around.
One hedge fund is pitching a fix to SpaceX’s IPO deluge: Shorten employee lockup periods
An IPO structure proposed by Lykos Global Management would trickle employee shares, then those held by insiders, into the market based on price and volume thresholds.
How old records and new AI technology brought growth back to Ancestry
CEO Howard Hochhauser says the site had stopped listening to its customers.
Richard Edelman on trust, ‘Succession,’ and how to advise a CEO
The C-suite adviser says clients should spend more time hearing their critics.
More than 500 global CEOs, policymakers, and cabinet secretaries gather at Semafor World Economy in Washington
Kicking off Monday, power players from around the world descend on DC to confront a global economy rattled by wars, inflation, and the artificial intelligence boom.
US-Iran impasse to stem relief rally
The collapse of talks between the US and Iran is poised to push energy prices back up and weigh on stocks globally.
US inflation jumps, though long-term war impact yet to be seen
“Core” inflation, which removes volatile food and energy prices, only increased modestly.