In this edition: Greenpeace threatens legal action over Dangote’s Lamu refinery, South Africa’s emba͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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July 31, 2026
semafor

Africa

Africa
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Today’s Edition
  1. Greenpeace vs Dangote
  2. A push for fuel imports
  3. S. Africa fund gets new chair
  4. Belgium backs DRC plant
  5. US backs Madagascar metals
  6. Ebola response scrutiny

Weekend reads, and Comoros tackles wedding-fueled work leave.

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First Word
Mapping strategic neglect, Yinka Adegoke.

Screenshots of a US State Department map of Africa that mislabeled every country quickly ricocheted through WhatsApp groups and inboxes of Africa policy specialists this week, prompting a mix of disbelief, gallows humor, and embarrassment. The State Department apologized for the error on the reportedly AI-generated map, which was presented at a global conference in Brazil.

For many current and former US officials who have worked on African affairs, the mistake itself was less remarkable than what it appeared to reveal. After the initial amusement and horror came genuine concern that the State Department — the US government’s primary institution for day-to-day engagement with African countries — is no longer as capable as it once was after 18 months of reconfiguration under the current Trump administration. The department has lost somewhere between a fifth and a third of its staff, depending on whose estimates you believe, while senior diplomatic representation across the continent has also been hollowed out.

“You can draw a straight line between the lack of 37 ambassadors and the map screw-up. It points to understaffed vetting processes,” said Witney Schneidman, who has spent four decades working on US-Africa policy in and out of government, under both Democratic and Republican administrations.

The map itself was an embarrassing mistake. But what makes it consequential is that it reinforces a broader perception that Africa is no longer receiving sustained attention from Washington, just as the US says it wants deeper partnerships on critical minerals, security, and trade. Diplomacy may seem less tangible than investment deals or military cooperation, but it is the infrastructure that makes those ambitions credible and weakening it is an own goal.

Every vacant ambassadorship, every depleted Africa desk, and every avoidable blunder makes it easier for China to present itself as the more consistent and attentive partner. Washington says it is competing with Beijing for influence across Africa, but moments like this inevitably fuel doubts in African capitals that, despite the rhetoric, the continent still isn’t being taken as seriously as US officials claim.

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1
Semafor Exclusive

Dangote’s Lamu refinery under fire

 
Martin K.N Siele
Martin K.N Siele
 
Developments at Lamu Port in Kenya.
Developments at Lamu Port in Kenya. Presidential Press Service/Handout via Reuters.

Greenpeace Africa said it is mulling a potential legal challenge to stop the issuance of approvals for the construction of a multibillion-dollar Dangote Refinery on the Kenyan coast. The government hopes the $17 billion project, which is expected to produce 700,000 barrels-per-day when finished, will create tens of thousands of jobs and boost the region’s energy autonomy. But it has also drawn ire from activists. Greenpeace argues the Kenyan government made political and financial commitments before undertaking an Environmental and Social Impact Assessment or extensive public participation around the proposed site in Lamu.

The plan comes with political weight: Sources close to the Lamu governor told Semafor that with national elections coming in August 2027, the administration is keen on the project’s success. The piece of land expected to host the project has already been designated, and Lamu expects to approve various operational licenses required for construction to begin.

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2

Nigeria urged to build fuel reserves

Dangote Industries oil refinery and fertilizer plant site in Ibeju Lekki, Lagos.
Sodiq Adelakun/Reuters

Nigerian energy retailers called for the state to create local strategic reserves of petrol and other fuels to buffer from supply shocks in the global oil market. An influential trade group that favors the importation of refined products is leading the charge, in a move that would undermine Africa’s richest man Aliko Dangote, who says his 650,000 barrels-a-day refinery can meet Nigeria’s energy needs.

Increased domestic refining has made Nigeria significantly less reliant on importing refined petroleum products, with nearly 80% of petrol supply in the country from January to June this year coming from domestic sources. However, a 6% year-on-year drop in total petrol supply during the period has raised concerns about relying entirely on domestic refining.

The trade group said that while the Dangote Refinery has achieved “impressive production levels,” it was concerned that maintenance and technical issues meant Nigeria should retain a “diversified supply framework” supported by domestic sourcing. Lawmakers held a hearing this week on the existing tension between importers and refiners, where the energy marketers reiterated their stance on building reserves using both imports and locally refined stock.

Alexander Onukwue

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3

South African fund gets new chair

Johannesburg.
Reuters

South Africa appointed a deputy minister in the presidency office as chair of the state-owned $200 billion pension fund, as part of a complete board overhaul following weeks of governance turmoil.

Seiso Mohai’s appointment, whose candidacy was first reported by Semafor, shifts political oversight of the fund into President Cyril Ramaphosa’s office and breaks a decade-long tradition of handing the gavel to the deputy finance minister in the National Treasury.

Mohai will lead a new bench of seven directors at the Public Investment Corporation — the lifeblood of South African capital markets, holding roughly 20% of the Johannesburg bourse. Former African Development Bank vice president Bajabulile Swazi Tshabalala is also among the appointees, injecting development finance expertise.

The new bench inherits a fire to put out after the suspension of PIC’s CEO over a botched airport transaction sparked a wave of board resignations and shone a harsh spotlight on the fund’s policy-driven venture arm, where 40% of its $6 billion portfolio is on life support.

Tiisetso Motsoeneng

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4

Belgium backs DRC germanium

A chart showing China’s share of global mineral refining production.

Belgium has approved a state guarantee to help cover advance payments for future germanium supplies from DR Congo. The pact backs a plant that, once at full capacity, could supply up to 15% of the world’s demand for the critical mineral, as Europe seeks to reduce its reliance on China.

The guarantee would allow Umicore, a major Brussels-based refiner, to pay upfront for future germanium supplies under terms still being negotiated, while shifting part of the commercial risk to the Belgian state.

Supply of germanium, used in fiber-optic networks, infrared defense systems, and semiconductors, is dominated by China, which produces about 60% of global output and has restricted exports since 2023. “We cannot count on China,” Peter Handley, a former European Commission official who worked on the EU’s critical minerals policy, told Semafor.

A unit of DR Congo’s state miner Gécamines supplies Umicore from a plant capable of producing around 30 tonnes a year. It began commercial shipments in late 2024 and produced an estimated four to five tonnes of contained germanium last year.

Ruben Nyanguila

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5

US backs Madagascar rare earths project

A chart showing Madagascar’s rare earth exports by the share of global supply chains.

The US said it will back a rare earths project in Madagascar as part of its efforts to chip away at China’s dominance of the critical minerals sector across Africa. Washington’s Development Finance Corporation will commit up to $4.8 million to the Ampasindava ​project, paving the way for potential future funding. The site produces material used to make magnets that are essential for defense manufacturing, which the US is keen to secure.

The Trump administration’s expansion of critical minerals investments across Africa is part of its so-called trade-not-aid push. And though experts said the US will almost certainly not catch up with China, by far the leading foreign investor in the sector, some noted Washington’s new approach to Africa’s resources is welcome after years of paternalistic foreign policy. “There is definitely a sentiment now that the Americans are back, in a big way, and in a way that means ‘let’s talk business,’” Chatham House senior researcher Christopher Vandome told Semafor.

Jenny Vaughan

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6
Semafor Exclusive

US senators call for Ebola aid

 
Adrian Elimian
Adrian Elimian
 
Congolese women stand near the house of a man who died of Ebola.
Gradel Muyisa Mumbere/Reuters

A bipartisan pair of US senators is urging the Secretary of State to unlock family planning funding and supplies for women affected by the Ebola outbreak sweeping eastern DR Congo, warning that the Trump administration’s freeze on such aid is deepening a maternal health crisis.

In a letter shared first with Semafor, the Sens. Jeanne Shaheen, a Democrat, and Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, called for the repurposing of $608 million in international family planning funds from the fiscal year 2026 appropriations bill. They also pressed for a “humanitarian exemption” allowing US support for the UN Population Fund so the body can resume sexual and reproductive health programming in the affected region. President Donald Trump withdrew from the organization earlier this year.

The current Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak is now the second-largest on record, the Congolese government said this week, with more than 3,500 cases reported.

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Weekend Reads
A graphic showing a newspaper.
  • AI development in Africa poses a unique set of challenges around mammoth electricity needs that many cities — struggling to provide power for their own populations — simply cannot supply. Or more precisely, they cannot supply the grid support to channel electricity from, say, a power source to an AI data center. Awonusi Ayomide Jesudamilare explores this conundrum, asking: “How should cities weigh private digital investment against competing claims on shared resources?” The answer, she finds, is by creating a grid inside the grid: “A layer of firm, privately secured electricity built for facilities that cannot tolerate interruption, operating within a public system still struggling to expand transmission and connect new generation.”

  • Afro-Mauritanian asylum seekers in the US find themselves ensnared in the Trump-era deportation system while pushing for justice back home, writes Nadia Addezio for The Polis Project. The reporting follows members of Ohio’s Afro-Mauritanian diaspora — many descendants of those killed or expelled during racial purges in the 1980s and 1990s — and how an amnesty law shields perpetrators from prosecution, leaving survivors’ decades-long search for truth about mass graves and disappeared relatives unresolved, as they fight canceled asylum hearings and deportation orders to Uganda.

  • Africa’s infrastructure financing challenge is less about finding more money than creating enough investable projects that domestic capital can back. This argument, by Bright Simons in a new Brookings’ paper, pushes back on recent reports highlighting up to $4 trillion in African institutional assets, roughly half of which is portrayed as “idle savings” waiting to be deployed. Simons argues those assets are already largely committed, and that the true figure is much smaller. Instead, he says governments should focus on building stronger pipelines of bankable projects, improving project preparation, expanding credit enhancements, and deepening local capital markets to unlock long-term investment.

  • Africa’s entire submarine cable network relies on a single repair vessel based in Cape Town, according to a new report from the International Advisory Body on Submarine Cable Resilience. The findings show how regulatory bottlenecks, an aging global repair fleet, and geographic imbalance have pushed worldwide response times past 50 days. The piece examines South Africa’s comparatively fast repair commencement times and recent West African cable breaks that cost Nigeria an estimated $590 million in four days.

  • Washington’s reluctance to challenge President Félix Tshisekedi’s reported push for a third term could ultimately undermine its own ambitions in DR Congo. By overlooking democratic backsliding in pursuit of a strategic minerals partnership, the US risks enabling the instability that threatens peace, jeopardizes access to critical minerals, and creates fresh opportunities for China, argues Christian-Géraud Neema in a Carnegie Endowment analysis. Neema contends that durable US influence in Congo depends less on transactional security deals than on supporting constitutional governance and political stability. Ignoring the country’s domestic political trajectory, he argues, could leave Washington with neither the secure mineral supply chains nor the geopolitical foothold it seeks.
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Continental Briefing

Business & Macro

🌍 Mining giant Anglo American said its losses during the first half of the year more than halved, as the firm continues to undergo a major restructuring process.

🇿🇦 French media giant Canal+ said subscriber acquisition at its South African unit MultiChoice rose 40% in the first six months of 2026.

Climate & Energy

🇳🇬 Lagos and London-listed energy company Seplat will sell a 10% stake in an asset it operates with Nigeria’s state oil company NNPC for $281 million, and plans to use half the proceeds to pay off legacy debt.

Geopolitics & Policy

🇺🇬 Detained Ugandan opposition figure Kizza Besigye is unconscious and in intensive care, after collapsing in court earlier this week, his wife said.

🇬🇭 Ghana’s government has accepted a recommendation ​to extend the presidential term from four to five ‌years, after supporters argued administrations should have more time to govern.

🌍 The African Union has backed a broader discussion on migration, in response to a proposal from Ghana to put xenophobic violence in South Africa on the union’s next meeting agenda.

Tech & Deals

🇧🇼 Footprints Education Group, a unit of Botswana-based private equity firm Aleyo Capital, acquired a 24% stake in South African plastic products manufacturer Penflex.

🇳🇦 Japan is eyeing its first rare earths venture in Africa, after JOGMEC said it would invest $34 million in a Toyota Tsusho mineral project in Namibia.

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Outro
A wedding ceremony in Comoros.
Antony Njuguna/Reuters

Comoros said it will ban civil servants from attending weddings during working hours, in a bid to reduce absenteeism among government employees. “Too often, when a citizen goes to an administrative office to obtain a document, they are told that the official has gone to a wedding and they must return the next day,” the interior minister said, adding the change would help public services run better. Workplace absenteeism amounts to significant inefficiencies: Nine of out the 10 least labor-productive countries in the world last year were in sub-Saharan Africa, according to the International Labour Organization. This isn’t only on account of weekday weddings: The dominance of small-holder farming in many African economies has a very low conversion rate from labor input to GDP output, largely due to a lack of mechanization or other resources. Plus, new rules only work if they are followed; one Comorian groom-to-be told RFI that his wedding plans wouldn’t be affected “one iota” by the new memo.

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Semafor Spotlight
Semafor Spotlight

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