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In today’s edition, we dig into the Federal Trade Commission’s price-fixing case against an oil exec͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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May 30, 2024
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Liz Hoffman
Liz Hoffman

Hi and welcome back to Semafor Business.

When the Federal Trade Commission accused oil executive Scott Sheffield of colluding with rivals to cut back on production, I noted the irony that Sheffield was in trouble for saying privately things he had been saying publicly for years — that repeating the drilling frenzy of the 2010s would make the industry uninvestable and lead to a price collapse. “Context is everything,” I wrote.

There’s another piece of context, though. The government’s case appears to focus on Sheffield’s actions during the most bizarre and tumultuous stretch in recent memory for the oil industry, and for every other industry. The early days of the pandemic threw markets into disarray, and Sheffield’s comments about production look different when you remember that the world had literally run out of places to store oil, whose price went negative. New details below on the FTC’s focus and Sheffield’s defense.

Plus, Semafor’s first podcast, Mixed Signals, launches tomorrow. Ben Smith and Nayeema Raza ask Vivek Ramaswamy how he actually plans to take control of Buzzfeed. You can find it on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen.

Buy/Sell
Amazon

➚ BUY: Flying blind. Amazon’s drones got government clearance to fly out of visual range of the pilots controlling them, paving the way for longer-distance delivery that the company hopes will be cheaper and faster. Early crashes had set the program back.

➘ SELL: Digging deep. Faced with a deadline for the UK’s “put up or shut up” takeover rules, BHP chose the latter, abandoning its $49 billion offer for Anglo American. But the mining land grab may just be starting; the bid jolted Anglo into a self-makeover that could see its platinum, coal, and De Beers diamond units sold.

  HOLD: Bailing out. Nelson Peltz has sold his stake in Disney after losing an April bid for board seats. The activist investor has claimed a roughly $1 billion profit on a stock that’s mostly bounced sideways since he first showed up in late 2022.

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The Tape

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Liz Hoffman

Price-fixing, pandemics, and corporate greed

Daniel Kramer/Reuters

THE SCOOP

US regulators’ price-fixing case against an oil executive focuses on comments he made in the early days of the pandemic, when the industry was reeling from cratering demand, people familiar with the investigation said.

Scott Sheffield, the longtime CEO of Pioneer Natural Resources who stepped down last year, was barred earlier this month from serving on the board of Exxon Mobil while antitrust regulators investigate whether he conspired with rival oil executives to curb production, potentially leading to higher prices at the pump.

Exxon bought Pioneer for $60 billion on May 3, after the Federal Trade Commission signed off with that condition. The FTC has referred the matter to the Justice Department, which has the ability to pursue criminal actions, Semafor previously reported.

Previewing its case, the government referenced text conversations between Sheffield and other oil executives and representatives of OPEC, the cartel of major oil-producing countries that includes Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Venezuela. People familiar with the investigation say much of the agency’s evidence so far comes from Sheffield’s formal efforts in the spring of 2020 to lobby a Texas regulator empowered to limit drilling during times of market turmoil, and whether those official channels gave way to backroom dealings that broke the law.

As factories went dark, and cars and trucks sat idle during early Covid lockdowns, energy demand tanked. Saudi Arabia chose that moment to start a price war with Russia, which had rejected a Saudi-led plan to curb production in response to falling oil demand in China, and opened its spigots.

There was more oil coming out of wells than there were places to store it, and as a result, prices briefly went negative — an unthinkable market quirk for the world’s most crucial and ubiquitous commodity.

The Railroad Commission of Texas can legally cap oil production in the state that exceeds demand and will lead to “waste,” and in March 2020, Sheffield was a leading voice in the industry urging it to do so. Pioneer and another shale producer, Parsley, run at the time by Sheffield’s son, filed a petition to the commission citing “unprecedented disruption resulting from simultaneous, opposing shocks to both supply and demand.”

The FTC complaint also cites a text Sheffield sent to his son in June 2020, saying he “just got off the phone with UAE oil minister” who was complaining about Parsley’s comments at the time about ramping production back up as lockdowns eased. Sheffield now says that phone call was an online meeting organized by CERA, an energy industry group, whose widely attended annual conference, like many in the spring of 2020, had been replaced by a Zoom. (Pioneer bought Parsley six months later.)

LIZ’S VIEW

We don’t know exactly what the FTC has in its heavily redacted complaint, which it feels warrants referring the case to federal prosecutors who might pursue criminal charges against Sheffield. But a focus on official comments he made in the spring of 2020 puts the case in a different light.

There are times when we want industries to set competitive dynamics aside and pull together for the national good. The pandemic was one of them.

Sometimes companies can get there without coordinating: Airlines, more or less independently, decided to pare back their flights to China in early 2020 and then eventually ground most of their flights. But the Detroit automakers were a tougher crowd: An agreement among General Motors, Ford, and Stellantis to shut their factories in March 2020 was delayed in part because the companies were reluctant to put their executives on a joint conference call with the United Auto Workers for fear of being accused of colluding on production schedules, I reported in my book.

The government has repeatedly encouraged companies to share details of their cybersecurity defense plans and promised not to treat those discussions, “unstructured or very structured, human-to-human or automated, or somewhere in between,” as collusive. It has praised coordinated efforts by social media firms to aggressively police terrorist content and gathered their executives together to devise industry-wide plans.

As the definition of national security continues to expand, it’s not hard to see oil production fitting the bill, especially with the Middle East and Russia both embroiled in wars. Indeed, that Exxon’s deal for Pioneer was approved at all by antitrust regulators that have been challenging almost every big new corporate merger — and relitigating some old ones — suggests that energy policy considerations outweighed antitrust ones.

In his own defense, Sheffield doesn’t really make that argument. He focuses on free-speech arguments, which he says protect his ability to say — publicly or privately — what he thinks is best for his company and his industry. “Publicly and unjustifiably vilifying me will have a chilling effect on the ability of business leaders in any sector of our economy to address shareholder demands and to exercise their constitutionally protected right to advocate for their industries,” he said this week, when he submitted his response to the FTC allegations.

In 2020, his comments to the Texas commission and to the press weren’t about national security but about Pioneer’s own bottom line. “Our industry has created so much economic waste that nobody will buy our stocks,” Sheffield said in a live-streamed meeting, according to Texas Monthly. “If the Texas Railroad Commission doesn’t regulate long-term, we will disappear like the coal industry.”

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Evidence

Consolidation in the oil patch continues. The merger of ConocoPhillips and Marathon, announced Wednesday, would create the third-largest producer of US shale oil and gas, behind Exxon, recently beefed up by its acquisition of Pioneer, and Chevron, which took a big step this week toward completing its own takeover of Hess.

“It’s an arms race,” said Ben Dell, managing partner of Kimmeridge, a $5 billion energy investment fund. “Each transaction is catalyzing the next one.”

Dell said this feels like the late 19990s and early 2000s, when companies, laser-focused on returns, consolidated. Those years saw Exxon buy Mobil, Chevron buy Texaco, and Conoco buy Phillips. The result, Dell said, was a profitable industry on an even keel. The heavy spending that followed in the 2010s “destroyed a lot of value.”

In February, I talked to Dell’s colleague, Mark Viviano, about the spate of deals that included Exxon-Pioneer and Diamondback-Endeavor, and he said: “You have to wonder, what’s Conoco’s move?” Three months later, Conoco made that move.

Dell said yesterday: “The obvious question now is: what does Devon do?”

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What We’re Tracking
Mike Stone/File Photo/Reuters

Flight plans: Can American Airlines woo its top spenders back? The company admitted this week that changes to how it served business travelers — steering them off corporate travel agencies and toward direct booking — were a mistake. A bet that the traditional Monday-to-Thursday road warrior would be replaced by more flexible travel, blending personal and business trips, badly backfired, and American missed the double-digit rise in corporate spending that Delta and United have seen this year. “We’ll get that back,” CEO Robert Isom told investors yesterday, when the company fired its chief commercial officer. American’s shares had their worst day since June 2020.

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