• D.C.
  • BXL
  • Lagos
  • Riyadh
  • Beijing
  • SG
  • D.C.
  • BXL
  • Lagos
Semafor Logo
  • Riyadh
  • Beijing
  • SG


In today’s edition, we look at the questions that are still unanswered about Sam Altman and the worl͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
rotating globe
November 22, 2023
semafor

Technology

technology
Sign up for our free email briefings
 
Reed Albergotti
Reed Albergotti

Hi, and welcome back to Semafor Tech.

It seems like five years ago since our last regular newsletter. After we sent Friday’s out, hoping for a nice weekend with family and friends, all hell broke loose when OpenAI’s board fired Sam Altman.

It all seemed to have been resolved last night, when Altman said he was coming back to the startup. But there was something weird about the announcement. OpenAI said the new board will consist of veteran tech executive Bret Taylor, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers and … Adam D’Angelo, the lone holdout from the previous board.

The announcement, if read literally, meant Altman and former board chairman Greg Brockman were no longer directors. I immediately asked OpenAI about this, and the company declined to answer. It also declined to say whether the structure of the nonprofit board overseeing the for-profit entity will remain intact. I took that as a subtle confirmation that Altman won’t be a director and a hint that something will likely change about the way OpenAI is organized.

I don’t think we’ve reached the end of this saga and we might not for some time. There are still questions about what OpenAI will look like in the future. More detail on that in today’s article.

Plus, for your holiday reading, we’ve covered this drama from various angles, including what this says about the robot apocalypse. Our story detailing Altman’s breakup with Elon Musk is also getting picked up again, so sharing it here in case you missed it.

Move Fast/Break Things

➚ MOVE FAST: Governance. The OpenAI debacle shows the importance of having proper processes in place. Tech’s recent history is littered with examples of how bad things can happen when boards, CEOs, and founders are allowed to run amok, from WeWork to FTX.

➘ BREAK THINGS: Governing. Now, the hard work begins for Sam Altman and the rest of the team to put the pieces of OpenAI back together. But divisions could remain, and the lack of clarity on exactly why the board fired Altman leaves a cloud hanging over its reunion.

Unsplash/Andrew Neel
PostEmail
Reed Albergotti

OpenAI’s drama could still have more acts

THE SCENE

Sam Altman’s return as CEO of OpenAI caps a chaotic five-day period for the world’s hottest startup, but still leaves questions about what really led to his firing and whether the company can recover.

OpenAI said Tuesday that it has “reached an agreement in principle” for Altman to return to his role, and overhauled the board that ousted him on Friday. The new directors are former Salesforce co-CEO Bret Taylor, who will be chair of the board, ex-Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, and Quora CEO Adam D’Angelo, the only member to stay on.

It appears that two other directors, Helen Toner and Tasha McCauley, who both have ties to the effective altruism movement, are no longer in those roles.

They were part of the board that said last week that Altman had not been “consistently candid in his communications’ with directors, without providing further details. They stuck by that view this past weekend, when talks to bring Altman back collapsed. He has agreed to an internal investigation into the board’s allegations, The Information reported.

“We are collaborating to figure out the details,” OpenAI said in announcing the deal with Altman. “Thank you so much for your patience through this.”

Reuters/Benoit Tessier

REED’S VIEW

The real winners late Tuesday night were investors in OpenAI. Some of the most powerful people in Silicon Valley stood to lose a lot of money (at least on paper) if OpenAI collapsed. With Altman back, that investment appears to have been saved. Or has it?

Altman himself is no longer on the board. We don’t know what the internal investigation is investigating. And Altman, in some ways, seems possibly more vulnerable than before he was fired.

If the probe turns something up, the board could oust him again, though Altman now has more allies. If it clears him, it’s possible he could move back onto the board.

For now, that uncertainty raises another important question about employee compensation. Before Altman’s ouster, the company was planning a tender offer that would enable longtime staff to sell their OpenAI shares for a windfall profit, with the startup valued north of $80 billion.

The sources I talked to think investors may now blink at those lofty valuations after what’s gone on over the past several days. OpenAI was so far ahead of the competition that financial backers and partners overlooked its unusual structure. They won’t anymore.

And there are still so many questions about D’Angelo’s role in all of this. He’s still on the board, which may have been a compromise in the deal.

One question for him is why this internal investigation is happening now, instead of before Altman was fired. For some reason, the board decided to rush this decision, suggesting there was some time-sensitive need to do it right then. What was it?

All of this drama has to be encouraging to rivals. At the very least, when companies are competing for AI talent, this will make a great talking point for recruiters: We’re like OpenAI, but drama-free.

There could be knock-on effects that have an even bigger impact. OpenAI needs capital to survive. The next models will be even more expensive to train and, probably, to run. In the easy money, low-interest era of tech investing, OpenAI would have had no problem. Worst comes to worst, just ask SoftBank for a few billion.

But these are leaner times and investors are more discerning. I’m not saying OpenAI won’t be able to raise money. It still has the best technology in an industry that is about to upend every other industry. Although, if Altman is ever ousted for good, that could change. So investors may want to wait for the results of the internal investigation.

And then there’s Microsoft. On Sunday night, it appeared Microsoft was going to get Altman, OpenAI President Greg Brockman, and a large chunk of the startup’s staff while still retaining the exclusive rights to OpenAI’s IP. That would have been an amazing coup.

This result isn’t bad, either. Microsoft didn’t get a board seat, but it still gets OpenAI’s technology. And OpenAI is more dependent on Microsoft now because of the software giant’s compute infrastructure. And if OpenAI can’t raise as much money, Microsoft holds a lot of cards.

PostEmail
Semafor Stat

The number of months it took to close Broadcom’s $69 billion acquisition of VMWare. The deal was approved by regulators in China yesterday, just days ahead of Sunday’s deadline to finalize the tie-up. The transaction had gotten caught up in rising U.S.-China tensions, but the path appeared to clear after Presidents Biden and Xi met last week.

PostEmail
Live Journalism

Join us in Washington, D.C. for a special bicoastal exchange of ideas on artificial intelligence.

Finding Common Ground on AI RSVP

Date: December 7 | Washington D.C

Congressman Jim Himes, Google’s President of Global Affairs, Kent Walker, Dr. Geri Richmond, DOE’s Undersecretary for Science and Innovation, and former FCC Chairman Tom Wheeler will join Semafor’s Editors on Dec. 7 in Washington, D.C. for a live and high-energy exchange of ideas on artificial intelligence. Hosted by Semafor’s editors, we’ll engage tech leaders and policymakers with the profound questions about AI’s boundaries and its implications on our work, life, healthcare, warfare, and democratic elections.

PostEmail
Hot On Semafor
  • Eight weeks out from the first presidential primary contest, Donald Trump is doing only what he has to, while three far-behind rivals are trying everything.
  • One of the most prominent backers of the “effective altruism” movement at the heart of the ongoing turmoil at OpenAI told Semafor he is now questioning the merits of running companies based on the philosophy.
  • Why a Hollywood mogul invested in a Gulf gas company.
PostEmail