Flagship newsletter icon
From Semafor Flagship
In your inbox, every weekday
Sign up

MidEast conflict could hurt Chinese business

Mar 10, 2026, 6:08pm EDT
PostEmailWhatsapp
United Arab Emirates President Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and Chinese President Xi Jinping
Tingshu Wang/Pool/Reuters

Analysts say China may benefit geopolitically from a prolonged Iran war, but it could start to feel the pain economically.

The Middle East has been a growing market for Chinese steel and clean energy, but trade ties are now at risk given the expanding conflict.

The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has also caused Chinese prices for sulphur — a raw fertilizer material, much of which comes from the Gulf — to rise just as the planting season begins.

And while China has a considerable oil stockpile, the war cuts Beijing off from Tehran’s cheap, sanctioned crude.

Chinese tech companies, from robotaxis to smartphones, have also expanded rapidly in the Gulf, but strikes in the region disrupted their operations.

Map of China investment in Persian Gulf from 2005 to 2025
AD