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In today’s edition, a look at Taiwan’s accelerated effort to build a satellite network after a recen͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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March 22, 2023
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Technology

Technology
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Louise Matsakis
Louise Matsakis

Hi, and welcome to Semafor Tech, a twice-weekly newsletter from Reed Albergotti and me that gives an inside look at the struggle for the future of the tech industry. When I landed in Taipei last week, my first order of business was getting a Taiwanese breakfast with one of my closest friends. While I sipped on a giant mug of hot soy milk, she told me about her recent trip to Matsu, a group of islands belonging to Taiwan located just off the coast of China’s Fujian province.

There is currently no high-speed internet in Matsu, thanks to Chinese vessels that were suspected last month of severing the undersea cables connecting the region. Local residents are no stranger to internet disruptions — the cables have been snipped 25 times in the past 5 years alone.

The latest incident quickly garnered global attention and seemed to be on the minds of everyone I talked to in Taipei, some of whom were worried about what would happen if China tried to purposely attack the cables connecting Taiwan’s main island. Today, I’m sharing my reporting on Taiwan’s ambitious plan to protect itself in that scenario: Launching a network of internet satellites that would work like SpaceX’s Starlink service.

Plus, a major new AirPods factory is coming to India, TikTok’s attempts to change the narrative in Washington, and Reed’s thoughts on Google’s newly released chatbot, Bard.

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Move Fast/Break Things

➚ MOVE FAST: Bard: Google’s new AI chat companion — named after the most famous storyteller of all time (aka William Shakespeare) — finally launched this week to great fanfare. It’s a work in progress and a bit of a scramble for the search giant, but it’s a big step for the company as it takes on rival Microsoft in the AI wars.

➘ BREAK THINGS: Bards: Ubisoft, maker of “Assassin’s Creed,” and other blockbuster games, unveiled “Ghostwriter,” an AI tool that automatically generates dialogue for video game characters. Writers were not happy, accusing the company of taking work away from junior employees. It’s just a taste of the kind of disruption AI is about to bring to every industry.

Ubisoft
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Semafor Stat

The amount that a unit of Foxconn plans to invest in the southern Indian state of Karnataka, creating 50,000 jobs, Reuters reported. The Taiwanese firm won a contract to manufacture AirPods for Apple and plans to build a factory in India to make them.

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Louise Matsakis

Taiwan pursues internet satellite service ahead of potential Chinese invasion

THE NEWS

TAIPEI — An ongoing internet disruption on one of Taiwan’s islands is accelerating the self-governed territory’s plans to launch an independent satellite network like SpaceX’s Starlink, which would help ensure it remains connected in a potential Chinese invasion.

Taiwan’s National Communication Commission blamed Chinese vessels last month for cutting two undersea cables providing high-speed internet to Matsu, a Taiwanese island located only a few nautical miles off the coast of China’s Fujian province. The cables have yet to be repaired; Matsu residents are currently relying on a microwave backup system and other fixes, such as using SIM cards from China.

The disruption was a major topic of discussion among tech industry workers and business executives when I visited Taipei last week. Some expressed concerns that if Taiwan were to go to war with China, the People’s Liberation Army could target the 16 undersea cables connecting the territory’s main island to the rest of the world.

T.H. Schee, a Taiwanese startup founder who hosts lectures on civil defense, noted that scenario would have ramifications as far away as Silicon Valley. Google, for example, has built two data centers in Taiwan and announced plans for a third in 2020. The company is also invested in three undersea cables connecting Taiwan to other countries. Google declined to comment.

Taiwan’s Digital Minister Audrey Tang said last week that the territory would prioritize testing its satellite internet capabilities in outlying islands such as Matsu. She first announced in September that Taiwan was aiming to build a satellite system similar to the Starlink network run by Elon Musk’s SpaceX, which has become instrumental to Ukraine in its war against Russia.

Unsplash/Markus Winkler

LOUISE’S VIEW

There are a few different routes Taiwan might take to build a satellite internet service. First, the territory could launch a geostationary satellite, which would stay above Taiwan and provide steady — albeit slower — internet access to residents if China damaged its undersea cables. A number of countries have launched similar communication satellites in recent years, such as Bangladesh.

Or Taiwan could attempt to build a network of low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellites like SpaceX has, a project that would likely be harder and more expensive to accomplish, as well as potentially very inefficient. LEO satellites traverse the Earth roughly every 90 minutes, meaning that only a handful will be over Taiwan at any given time. That might not be a bad thing if Taiwan wants to sell its satellite service in other parts of the world, but it’s unclear whether its offering would be competitive.

A number of companies are currently racing to launch their own LEO constellations, including Amazon’s Project Kuiper, which plans to send its first satellites into orbit next year. “Investors think prices are going to fall dramatically because of all this capacity that is coming to market right now,” said Matt Desch, CEO of the satellite communications firm Iridium.

The booming satellite industry poses another problem for countries looking to launch their own satellite services: There’s a limited number of rocket launches happening around the world. To get its devices into orbit, Taiwan would need to find a rocket company that has the resources to take on another project. Right now, companies like Amazon are hogging much of the capacity that’s available.

Another option for Taiwan would be to simply partner with an existing LEO satellite company, which could sell its services to the territory. SpaceX, however, likely wouldn’t be Taiwan’s first choice, given Elon Musk’s deep ties to China. His other company, Tesla, relies on the People’s Republic for roughly 25% of its revenue. Taiwan also requires that foreign satellite companies form partnerships with local firms if they want to do business in the territory.

ROOM FOR DISAGREEMENT

Taiwan is a major manufacturing hub for satellite equipment, which could give the region an important leg up over other countries trying to build satellite internet networks. Companies on the island already produce base stations, circuit boards, solar cells, and other tech for firms like SpaceX, according to local media reports. The island’s “concentrated and complete supply chain” is its biggest advantage in the global satellite industry, Su-Wei Chang, founder and CEO of the Taiwanese satellite communications firm TMY, said in an interview with DigiTimes.

THE VIEW FROM UKRAINE

Starlink has been widely credited for helping Ukraine stay connected after Russian attacks damaged the country’s communication systems. In October, Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraine’s deputy prime minister for digital transformation called the satellite internet service “an essential element of our critical infrastructure.”

But in February, SpaceX said it had taken steps to prevent Ukraine from using Starlink satellites for offensive purposes in the war. Starlink was “never meant to be weaponized,” SpaceX president and CEO Gwynne Shotwell said during a conference in Washington, D.C.

NOTABLE

  • Taiwan has begun courting international investors to help fund its domestic satellite communications provider, the Financial Times reported in January.
  • Light pollution from low-Earth orbit satellites is making life miserable for astronomers, according to a series of papers and editorials published by the journal Nature Astronomy this month.
  • Amateur radio could be another communication alternative in the event of an internet outage in Taiwan, according to The Los Angeles Times, which profiled the island’s ham radio enthusiasts.
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Evidence

The U.S. Commerce Department yesterday outlined more details about the rules that companies must follow to receive part of more than $50 billion in funding to bolster the domestic chips industry. For example, the proposal says any transaction of at least $100,000 that would expand advanced manufacturing capacity in a country of concern, like China, would be banned. About half of Americans agree with such limitations.

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Watchdogs
Reuters/Florence Lo

The U.S. congressional hearing tomorrow featuring TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew has produced even more spin than usual in Washington. Ads by the Chinese-owned app touting its safety and privacy controls have appeared in The Washington Post and in D.C. subway stations. On the other side, Republican aides warned reporters about TikTok using its enormous popularity to galvanize public support, and some tech executives are currently in D.C. to lobby lawmakers about the dangers of the app.

But most Washington minds have already been made up, making the hearing more of a show than a fact-finding mission. That puts Shou in the tough spot of trying to defend TikTok against what will likely amount to a verbal firing squad. And some of those outtakes will probably make the rounds on TikTok itself.

Gina Chon

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One Good Text

Sissie Hsiao is vice president of product at Google.

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Obsessions

The launch of Google’s Bard was a big day in generative AI, and the response from the media, which got early access to the tool, was somewhat predictable. Immediately, reporters started entering the same prompts that made Microsoft’s Bing chat say some wild and crazy things.

Barron’s got Bard to describe itself as a white male, indicating that this algorithm was actually a “tech bro,” and so on. Soon, conservatives will accuse Google of programming it with “woke” values. (Nevermind the people who built this thing don’t fully understand why it answers questions the way it does, much less have the ability to instill it with their own pet political beliefs.)

What’s so shocking is that reporters didn’t jump on the most obvious question: What is Google doing with the data users enter into Bard? I asked but haven’t gotten an answer yet.

Now, Google has created a companion with which people will no doubt share some very intimate details. That data, associated with their Google accounts, is invaluable for targeted advertising. Privacy isn’t a sexy topic anymore. Chatbots sounding insane, or “woke,” will get more clicks, so that’s the new concern. It rings as hollow to me as a computer pretending to be a person.

Reed

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Ahem

Reuters/Amanda Perobelli

Apparently, an ex-U.S. president getting detained is good for business. Shares of Digital World Acquisition Corp., the blank check company that hopes to acquire the parent of Donald Trump’s Truth Social network, surged 11% on Monday as the former commander-in-chief warned he would be arrested in a case led by the Manhattan district attorney’s office.

Shares fell slightly on Tuesday as the arrest failed to materialize. But if or when it happens, Trump will be sure to tell his five million followers on Truth Social all about it, and perhaps even post on Facebook and YouTube. But he has yet to grace Truth Social rival Twitter with his presence.

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— Reed and Louise

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