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Ethiopia is taking drastic measures — including dropping entrance standards sharply — to fast-track ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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February 16, 2023
semafor

Africa

Africa
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Alexis Akwagyiram
Alexis Akwagyiram

Hi! Welcome to Semafor Africa where Yinka Adegoke and I dig into some of the biggest stories around the continent twice a week.

Our lead story in this edition is about Ethiopia’s faltering plans to rapidly increase the number of people who get a university education. Not enough young people are getting the grades needed to move on to higher education. We also have a dispatch from northern Ghana, where the government this week doubled troop numbers in a town near the border with Burkina Faso where locals say Islamist insurgents from the country’s northern neighbor are stirring unrest.

Both of those stories — higher education in Ethiopia and Ghana’s jihadist fears — concern access to opportunity. African countries have the world’s youngest populations. That is a source of energy and optimism. But a lack of opportunities can cause serious problems. A recent UNDP report found the hope of employment, rather than religion, drove people to join extremist groups in sub-Saharan Africa. Citing an annual survey called The Global Terrorism Index, it said the region had become the global epicenter of attacks by extremists.

Ultimately, access to money provides paths to a better life, be it through private education when the state system is crumbling or simply keeping up with the skyrocketing cost of living.

Buy/Sell

➚  Buy: Jumia’s record revenue. The African e-commerce company posted 2022 revenue of $221 million, on Feb. 16. Jumia said marketplace revenue — from commissions, and marketing and advertising — for the three months up to December was an all-time high of $41.2 million. Today’s report is the first with Francis Dufay at the helm. Appointed in an acting role after the company’s co-founders left in November, Dufay has now been confirmed as Jumia’s CEO.

A Jumia delivery box.
Reuters/Temilade Adelaja/File Photo

➘ Sell: Jumia’s customers and staff. The number of customers who bought at least one item on Jumia between October and December 2022 fell by 15% year-on-year to 3.2 million. Those three months characterized by Christmas festivities usually give Jumia its highest number of quarterly active customers each year. Jumia blamed the fourth quarter slump on macro economic challenges that depressed consumer spending “while affecting our sellers’ ability to secure supply.” To cut costs last quarter, Jumia laid off 20% of its workforce, affecting 900 positions.

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Need To Know

🇬🇶 A superyacht and two homes belonging to Equatorial Guinea’s vice president Teodoro Nguema Obiang were seized by South African officials after a local businessman won a lawsuit which accused Obiang of unlawful detention. Daniel Janse van Rensburg says he was imprisoned in 2013 in South Africa at Obiang’s orders after a business deal fell through. He is now demanding compensation of $2.2 million from the vice president, son of the older President Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo.

🇬🇭 Telecoms company MTN Group says it will invest $1 billion in Ghana over a five-year period. It marks a conclusion to its face-off with the government over claims of unpaid back taxes. MTN and Ghana resolved the dispute with the telco not having to pay, even as other companies accused of owing taxes, such as Tullow Oil, continue to argue their cases. MTN’s Ghana investment will be in 5G technology, reports Reuters.

🌍 African presidents will be in Ethiopia this weekend for the 36th African Union summit focused on implementing the continent’s free trade agreement, AfCFTA. Nigeria’s Muhammadu Buhari and Cyril Ramaphosa of South Africa are among those traveling, each taking a couple of days off from local currency and energy crises respectively. The United States will have a delegation in Addis Ababa led by Molly Phee, the State Department’s assistant secretary for Africa.

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Stat

The annual inflation rate for Zimbabwe in January, a slight improvement from the 243.8% recorded in December. Zimbabwe’s year-on-year inflation rate has been reducing since August 2022 when it stood at 285%. Tight measures, such as the suspension of payments to government contractors last August, have been credited with slowing the rate of price rises.

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Samuel Getachew

Ethiopia chooses lower university entry standards over near empty campuses

THE NEWS

Ethiopian high school
Minasse Wondimu Hailu/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

ADDIS ABABA — Ethiopia is taking drastic measures — including dropping entrance standards sharply — to fast-track tens of thousands of failing students into universities as an ambitious policy to expand higher education in Africa’s second most populous country falters.

The goal is a central plank of Prime Minister Abiy’s long-term economic growth plans and had received a huge funding boost in recent years.

The education ministry on Monday announced it had set up a remedial program as a “one-time solution” for thousands of students after only 3.3% passed the entrance exam for admission to any of the country’s 42 public universities. It also lowered the pass mark to 30%, down from 50%, in order to be able to admit more students in the next academic year.

SAMUEL’S VIEW

Ethiopia, which has had one Africa’s fastest growing economies over the past decade, has prioritized improving access to education to make itself a regional manufacturing hub with an expanded service sector. The goal is to develop a workforce whose skills and education give it a competitive advantage in attracting foreign investors who can help create more jobs.

The two-year war in the northern Tigray region has thrown Ethiopia off course in its attempt to meet its economic goals. And the problems in its education system means the government needs to reappraise its long term development aspirations.

The government has pumped money into its education program. Ethiopia’s education budget has steadily increased in recent years, although it was cut last year as funds were allocated to the war. The number of public universities in Ethiopia has quadrupled in the last two decades. But attainment levels haven’t kept up with the pace of investment, forcing the government to choose between lowering standards and leaving newly built universities largely bereft of students.

Only 29,909 students scored the 50% pass mark in the exam for public universities out of the 896,520 who took the paper in October 2022, according to the country’s examination board. It means public universities, which can accommodate up to 150,000 students, would be nearly empty.

One reason for the poor results: the war in Tigray. Many students across the country had their education disrupted at some point. Students in Tigray were effectively out of school for two years.

The education ministry has also been cracking down on widespread cheating in the exams. Officials stopped online exam leaks and only used university compounds to supervise those taking exams.

There are signs of a deeper malaise within the country’s tertiary education system. University degrees can allegedly be purchased from public universities and instructors have reportedly failed to pass their own qualifying exams on the subjects which they teach.

ROOM FOR DISAGREEMENT

Woube Kassaye, an associate professor of curriculum at Addis Ababa University, agrees that the Ethiopian public education has myriad problems but thinks it can be improved through targeted interventions.

“The deterioration of the quality of education has become obvious. Quality of education is affected by various factors such as curriculum, teacher’s qualification, professionalism and politics”, he said, adding that the poor quality of education is a failure of the overall system.

These problems in the public sector have forced many youngsters to look for places in one of Ethiopia’s 306 private higher education institutions.

“If students cannot get the opportunity to go to university, there are other practical options,” Abdiaziz Ali Hussein, an education expert in Jijiga, capital city of the country’s Somali region, told Semafor. “These are in the private sector in the vast private schools, colleges, technical and vocational institutions that can give them targeted skills that can benefit them when they join the labor market.”

THE VIEW FROM NAIROBI

Kenya’s government last month said it had entered into talks with foreign investors to take over some of its public universities as part of its drive to tackle its unsustainable debt. The country’s trade minister said Kenya can no longer ignore the ballooning debts of its higher learning institutions. But labor unions representing the staff of public universities rejected the government’s plans. They argued that privatization of education on the scale proposed would make it impossible for poorer students to afford higher education.

Christopher Odhiambo, a drama professor at Moi University, the second largest in Kenya, told Semafor Africa the government was wrong to contemplate reducing the pool of public universities. “Education in Kenya is already semi-privatized because most subsidies have been withdrawn and students are taking loans to pay for it,” arguing that this had contributed to a deterioration in the quality of Kenya’s education system in recent years.

“Since opening up to privately sponsored students and lowering university entry grade, our universities have witnessed an increased number of students in admissions each year,” said Odhiambo. But, he added, teaching staff numbers had remained steady over the same period, making it difficult to have enough contact hours with students.

With Muchira Gachenge in Nairobi

NOTABLE

  • Ethiopia’s Education Minister Professor Berhanu Nega has been clear that the terrible results from this year’s examinations show just how many challenges the Horn of Africa country is facing as it pursues its expansionist ambitions. The drive, which has been going for two decades, has meant the country has had one of the fastest-growing education systems in the world, writes University World News.
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Evidence

The cost of sending money to sub-Saharan Africa is still the highest among all regions, topping out at 8.46% on an average $200 remitted in the third quarter of 2022. The global average was 6.3% during that period. There are as many as seven country-to-country “corridors” within the subregion with costs above 20% which is four times the UN’s sustainable development goals target of 5%.

There is some hope though. More digital services are coming online in Africa and even now the cost of sending money digitally is markedly lower at an average of 6.2% compared with 9.6% for transactions carried out with cash. The other promising news from the World Bank is that using mobile money for sending and receiving remittances is the least costly instrument to use. Africa remains at the forefront of mobile money services with more than 70% of a $1 trillion market, according the GSMA, the mobile industry association.

— Yinka

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One Good Text

On Wednesday (Feb. 15) David Malpass, the World Bank president, announced he will be stepping down from his post in June, almost a year before his term is due to end. Malpass had been dogged by criticism for being a climate change denier after he expressed skepticism in an interview last year. He later apologized for his remarks. W. Gyude Moore is a senior policy fellow at Center for Global Development and a former minister for public works for Liberia.

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Unfolding

In northern Ghana there are fears foreign fighters have joined a local decades-long ethnic conflict

BAWKU, Ghana — Foreign fighters may have joined an escalating 40-year-old ethnic conflict near Ghana’s northern border with Burkina Faso, sparking fears jihadists might be stirring unrest to expand their base in the region.

Soldiers deployed in the Upper East Region of Ghana — where the troubled town of Bawku is located — on Monday (Feb.13) faced off with gunmen and killed six that police sources say they believe had been brought in from neighboring Burkina Faso, an hour’s drive away.

In an acknowledgment of the escalating violence, the defense minister deployed 500 soldiers to Bawku, roughly doubling the number of troops in the town.

“The situation in Bawku is worrying,” the member of parliament for the area, Mahama Ayariga, told Semafor Africa. “We’re aware that it’s no longer the Kusasi and Mamprusi ethnic groups who are just fighting. From all indications, foreign elements are involved in the fight,” said Ayariga.

Ghana has so far avoided the wave of Islamist violence that has destabilized neighboring countries in West Africa. But the situation in Bawku threatens to mark the point at which jihadists finally breached the borders of what has arguably been the region’s most stable country. If true, that would open a new front in conflicts waged by insurgents in the subregion and destabilize parts of northern Ghana.

Islamic State and al-Qaeda fighters have carried out hundreds of attacks in and around the Sahel in recent years that have killed thousands and forced millions to flee their homes. The resulting insecurity has led to coups in Mali and Burkina Faso in the last two years.

— Kent Mensah

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Outro

Burna Boy, Tems and Rema headline NBA Half Time show

Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Bucks guard Jrue Holiday (21), forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) and head coach Mike Budenholzer will represent the Bucks at the NBA All-Star game.
Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

LeBron James could do a 6-0 for NBA All-Star Draft wins as captain this weekend, adding to his recent record basketball league scorer feat. But attention during the event’s half-time show will be on three Nigerian superstars: Burna Boy, Tems, and Rema. The three have been named as the show’s headline acts in what organizers are calling an “Afrobeats-themed performance.” It’s yet another great milestone for all three who have collectively conquered the Grammys, Oscars and even the FIFA World Cup in the last couple of years.

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— Yinka, Alexis, and Alexander Onukwue

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