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Botswana’s economy forecast to shrink as diamond sector slumps

Dec 22, 2025, 9:10am EST
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Diamonds are displayed during a visit to the De Beers.
Siphiwe Sibeko/File Photo/Reuters

Botswana’s economy is forecast to shrink by 0.9% this year, the country’s finance minister said, amid a prolonged downturn in the diamond market.

Botswana, the world’s largest producer of diamonds by value, relies on the precious stones for around one-third of its national revenues and three-quarters of its foreign exchange receipts. The economic struggles have hit public services hard, leading the government to declare a national health emergency in August.

President Duma Boko had promised to reduce Botswana’s reliance on diamonds before taking office at the end of last year. But the stones remain a priority. Gaborone is working on acquiring a majority stake in the diamond company De Beers — to increase its current 15% hold by buying shares from Anglo American — despite the IMF warning it could be a risky endeavor given the current diamond market. Angola’s state-owned diamond producer is also vying for a controlling stake.

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