Flagship newsletter icon
From Semafor Flagship
In your inbox, every weekday
Sign up

US midterms race on a knife’s edge

Oct 1, 2026, 6:41am EDT
PostEmailWhatsapp
US President Donald Trump.
Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

The US political calendar is shifting from making legislation to the fight for November’s midterms, with a top Democrat telling Semafor the race for control of Congress is “50-50.” US President Donald Trump is set to kick off a month of campaigning, though GOP candidates in tough battles have distanced themselves from a historically unpopular leader.

Republicans passed a sweeping tax cut last year, but worry they have not addressed voters’ concerns over inflation and AI regulation. Democrats lead in nationwide polling, but key races remain up for grabs: “The battle for the Senate is on a knife’s edge,” Semafor’s congressional bureau chief wrote, though the top Democrat in the Senate told him, “We’re right on the edge of winning.”

AD