Flagship newsletter icon
From Semafor Flagship
In your inbox, every weekday
Sign up

China’s yuan set to strengthen due to Middle East war

Apr 9, 2026, 7:40am EDT
PostEmailWhatsapp
Chinese President Xi Jinping.
Tingshu Wang/Reuters

Investors and economists upped bets that China’s yuan was set to rise, thanks to a short-term boost from the Middle East war and long-term trends driving a growing haven status.

A chart showing China’s share of trade settled in renminbi vs US dollar.

Hedge funds have used options to invest in the Chinese currency, Bloomberg reported, driven by a fall in oil prices and increased appetite for risk following the announcement of a ceasefire. Investors are also using it in trade, a UBS executive told CNBC, driving its “global importance.”

ING’s China chief economist meanwhile noted that Beijing — which tightly monitors the currency’s value — looked willing to allow further strengthening; he raised his forecast for the yuan to what had previously been his bullish upper bound.

AD