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Global stocks edge higher, bucking wartime trend

Apr 7, 2026, 6:57am EDT
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A cargo ship in the Gulf, near the Strait of Hormuz.
Stringer/File Photo/Reuters

Oil prices rose to around $111 a barrel after the US and Iran rejected a ceasefire deal, but stocks also edged higher, breaking with the “oil up, stocks down” trend.

Though there was a “noticeable uptick” in traffic through the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend, most ships remained blocked, and oil markets reacted.

But unusually, stock markets edged higher Monday, breaking the pattern that has largely held since the war began in late February. There are confounding factors: The US jobs data for March was released on Friday, and investors were unable to trade on the news until after the long weekend. But it may be a sign the markets have priced an ongoing energy shock into their calculations.

A chart showing the S&P 500 index performance in 2026.
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