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Luxury brands cut sales forecasts as Chinese spending dips

Feb 25, 2026, 6:42am EST
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A customer tries a gold bracelet inside a jewellery store, in Hong Kong.
Tyrone Siu/Reuters

Western luxury brands cut their global sales forecasts for the year, driven largely by cooling Chinese demand.

Though the Chinese market has become one of the world’s largest for luxury goods, spending has cooled since the start of the decade, driven largely by a slowing real estate market. Meanwhile, China’s scant social spending has forced much of the country’s aging population to save, further hurting domestic consumption.

Though Chinese exports remain strong — it registered a record trade surplus last year — its shrinking domestic market is a concern, the International Monetary Fund said. If China is to meet its ambitious growth targets, Beijing will need to shift spending from industrial subsidies, which are creating deflationary pressures, to boosting the social safety net.

A chart showing public social spending as a share of GDP by country
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