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China, India feel the heat from Trump’s Iran tariff threat

Jan 13, 2026, 5:40pm EST
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A drone view shows ships and containers at the port in Qingdao, Shandong province, China.
China Daily via Reuters

US President Donald Trump’s threat of 25% tariffs on Iran’s trading partners is already causing ripples in global commerce.

Trump has embraced “secondary tariffs” as a trade cudgel in his first year back in office: He previously floated duties on any country that buys Russian goods or Venezuelan oil, and imposed 25% tariffs on India for buying Moscow’s oil.

Trump’s latest threat has slowed India’s rice exports ​to Iran to a trickle; China and the United Arab Emirates are also in the crosshairs, given their multibillion-dollar annual trade with Tehran. Trump’s tactic risks reopening fraught geopolitical wounds with Beijing, following its bruising trade war with Washington that de-escalated late last year.

Chart showing Iran select trade partners for 2023
AD